Today is Thursday, all day long. Up early in Japan. The light pours in the hotel window and the
day is underway. If it were Beijing I’d
probably roll over. It’s 4:30 in the
morning back home. But here in Tokyo
it’s an hour onward and we may as well get on with it. I read a book on the plane that was
disappointing. I could have guessed. Regina
Abrami, William Kirby and Warren McFarlan, a Harvard trio have cobbled together
thoughts on the au courant topic:
“Can China Lead?” Any of the authors on their
own, in their own milieu might have been interesting but Frankenstein-ed
together as a “China book of the moment” offered nothing particularly original
to support their tart disdain. “Can
China Lead?” Well, their short answer
was “no.” Surprise. They’re not ready. We spend one-hundred pages to determine that
succession is a weakness in the political system. We know all this. There was nothing new nor particularly
prescient in what they had to say.
I came upon this
book and a half-a-dozen others from different professor’s syllabus, which I
inherited. It’s the second book from this
list that I’ve read and I tried to read it with an open mind. But not unlike “Will the Boat Sink the Water?”
which also came from this list, this was, for different reasons, completely
underwhelming. You begin to understand
why Chinese people can become so knee-jerk dismissive of foreign analysis. Every chapter that is supposed to be
examining the weighty question: Can
China Lead, ends with a “What does this mean for your company?” type summary. “Who Are Your Chinese Technology
Competitors?” “What are their
Strengths?” Business books can be so infantilizing, at times. All the worse if you’re lulled into seriousness
with a chapter or two written by a historian.
I made it through this
glorified HBR article, some two hours into the flight. I kept hoping William Kirby, whose work as a
historian I do respect would offer something interesting. This format doesn’t suit him, at all. I stood up and put the book back in my
backpack overhead and pulled down my “Cambridge Illustrated History of China”
ahh, now that is another matter. That’s
a text I’m using for my upcoming course.
This is glorious.
Fair enough, it’s
easier to offer substantive insights about the past than it is to “offer useful
prognostication about the future. The “China 2034” chapter of “Can China?”
taught me little beyond how not to write a scenarist’s consideration of one country’s
fate. In the ‘Cambridge History’ we’re
into the Sui period between the Han and the Tang. In the main tomb like Cambridge History of
China series where each dynasty is afforded a few thousand pages, the book
about this unique period has yet to be written. The Age of Division: The Three Kingdoms, “The Sixteen Kingdoms,
The Eastern Jin, The Northern Wei, the Northern Zhou . . . It all gets rather confusing and reminiscent
of European Medieval period with which it is contemporaneous.
I suppose Chinese
and Westerners alike tend to disregard these periods in their civilizational
past. I like the disorder. The
possibilities that never were, the introduction of a new faith that never had
been. But in Europe the pagan faiths
don’t last long. The Vikings perhaps are
the last hold outs, but in China native genius and Buddhist faith will spar and
embrace for the rest of Chinese time.
China is remarkable to be so resilient when we consider the fate of the
Aztecs or say the Buddhist grottos of Afghanistan.
Thursday, 4/26/18
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