I have taught a class on emerging markets for
many years now. I have used a certain text
that was brand new five years ago. A lot
has changed in some “emerging markets” like China during that time. And I’ve been thinking recently about how to update
the way I frame things. A friend invited
me to Duke Kunshan University to give a lecture and I was thrilled to have the
chance. But I did need to organize something I would
actually say to these young scholars.
What I wanted to
say was instinctively pretty clear: The
traditional idea of emerging markets as defined by Khana and Palepu in their
book “Winning in Emerging Markets” defines“emerging markets” as those
“transactional arena where buyers and sellers are not easily or efficiently
able to come together.” “Institutional
voids” are inefficiencies that mark an economy as “developing” because it is
harder for buyers and sellers to engage in the manner they might otherwise do
in a developed economy. Emerging
economies played catch-up to the developed economies of North America, Western
Europe and Japan.
My thesis is that developments
in mobile payment, high-speed rail and the “sharing economy” have now rendered
China as a new benchmark of ease of buyer and seller transactions. The U.S. by comparison in these specific criteria
is still emerging. So is Japan. Chinese tech start ups like Mobike and Ofo as
well as state owned enterprise like the CRCC who built china’s rail ways are
all over in the United States these days, exploiting our institutional voids,
turning the traditional paradigm on its head.
Fine to say, but
still had to write it out in a deck. I
sat on the plane sifting through some articles I’d sourced and trying to capture
data and make it available. An academic
setting, I tried to get my presentation straight and anchor my assertions with
citations. I stuffed reams of
information into power point for future editing. I spent most of the ninety-minutes delayed on
the tarmac reckoning with the fact that the “future” was now and then most of
the flight trying to winnow this down into something presentable.
Sometimes I behave wisely
and the brief visit to the Ctrip website sitting there on the runway in order
to buy a later ticket from Shanghai to Kunshan than the one I already had, was
one of he brightest things I did all day.
As expected I arrived with enough time to physically get to the station
before the train left, but would have gotten bogged down with the ticket
purchase. No way around that. There’s
always a long queue to contend with. But
the ticket is only a few bucks and grabbing second one was absolutely the-move.
The Shanghai rail
station must have a thousand seats but there were twelve hundred people looking
for a place to sit so I couldn’t sit and eat my chicken wrap and tidy my power
point as I imagined I would have. I got
back to work on the train itself moments later and by the time I arrived,
twenty-two high-speed rail minutes later, I was getting close.
One last ride was
the twenty minutes out to the campus in a cab.
I’ll catch the scenery next time.
I got rid of all the extraneous slides and made sure what I’d written
was grammatically accurate. “I think I’m
here.” I texted and my friend appeared at the door and led me straight to the
lecture hall where I dropped my things. “Where’s
the men’s room? He pointed to the door
and then pointed to my fly. Did the
needful, tucked in my shirt, splashed my face with water, returned and faced
the room to say “hello.”
Wednesday, 12/06/17
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