Monday, December 2, 2013

Malevolent Rise





The air quality was rated “very unhealthy” yesterday.  I think I can feel it.  Today we’re down to “unhealthy.”  Take a deep breath.  The sun looked malevolent, confrontational, as it rose in the December sky, fat, hazy, rusty off above the trees from the second floor window of the gym.  Across the street is the lot between this villa complex and another.  I’ve commented on it as the land where nothing grows.  Five years now and the vegetation has yet to return.  Here’s what I wrote a year ago about it in “7DS”:

Outside the main gate and across the way is an abandoned field, surrounded by purposed, pointy, conifer bushes to block the view.   From the main road there are high walled billboards that also seal off the scenery with posters of dreamy villa life: a private pool, a misty mountain view.  Behind the billboard, and the conifers, inside the lot, nothing grows.   I’ve been here for four years now and the scrub forest has never returned.  There has to be something toxic in the ground.   There must be.  Why is nothing growing?

The question remains.  Now it appears that are plowing it down, running it over.  It is prime real estate.  Presumably we’ll have a new version of luxury living on these grounds before long, like the one in the distance.  I really wonder though, why nothing sprouts up over there.  Land left alone for years should rejuvenate, unless their is something wrong.  Appropriately, perhaps, it is the Dead Boys who great me for the first tune on the stair master.  Looking over the dead field, I consider Stiv Bators, the lead singer, watching people from his room, in the song, “Sonic Reducer.”



The Cleveland Catholic School boys who moved to New York on Joey Ramone’s suggestion and helped define the late seventies punk scene there. They’d broken up by the time I was seeing shows at CB’s in 1981.  I always remember one remarkable anecdote of theirs narrated by their comparatively sober, ironic bass player Jeff Magnum about how their drummer Johnny Blitz had yelled something confrontational to a carload of Puerto Rican guys driving by on the Bowery.  Mr. Magnum had apparently counseled Mr. Blitz that this not wise and provoke this car load of youths, but Mr. Magnum proceeded, undeterred.  Not surprisingly the car returned and a rather lopsided battle ensued that left Johnny Blitz hospitalized with his chest stabbed.  I believe Jeff’s comment in the Legs McNeil book “Please Kill Me” was “didn’t your mother, didn't someone teach you not to provoke a car load full of Puerto Rican teens?”  Indeed. 

“Sonic Reducer” is of course, the metaphor for the band.  “I got my time machine.  Got my electronic train.”  And that had me back in New York.  Now it turns out that the Metro North train took the hard left there at Spuyten Duyvil, what is effectively a ninety-degree angle, doing 83 M.P.H.  Damn.  I didn’t know that Metro North trains were capable of doing 83 M.P.H in a straight-away.  The recommended speed for the turn is 30 M.P.H.   As Governor Cuomo said: “there were three possible causes for the accident: the condition of the tracks, an equipment failure or human error.”  For that engineer’s sake, I hope door number one or door number two.  By the way, where has Mayor Bloomberg been?

Returning to this question of Air Defense, the Times made an interesting suggestion today that Xi Jin Ping has not, historically cultivated much of any outreach to Japan.  He’s visited there and received delegations, but has had much less dealings with his neighbors, than say the disgraced party leader Bo Xi Lai.  What the Times didn’t say was whether or not Shinzo Abe had spent much of any time getting to know China.  One presumes he had some experience during his brief, first term in power.  But has he done more than made an obligatory visit or two to this country, during his rise to power?  As I suggested before, both men bear the legacy of fathers (and in Abe’s case, grandfather) who ruled before them, governing as they must beneath their and the all shadows of the last century.  

 The Chinese strategy, now appearing ever more likely to have had the blessing of Xi Jin Ping, was to force Japan back to the bargaining table.  Japan’s position is that there is nothing to discuss.  The islands are Japanese territory, period.  China may have succeeded in forcing differences between the U.S. and Japanese position.  And has certainly started what can only be seen as a reasonable discussion as to why, if the U.S. has an air defense zone, and Japan has an air defense zone, is it not possible China to have one?  The issue is the, if you will, ‘bull in a China shop” fashion that China has introduced the matter.  China could have announced that it was considering such a thing, announced that they were doing it over the whole coast and excluded the disputed area and demanded negotiations around it, etc.  But instead they made their assertion, 乘人不备[1]  and forced the others to scramble, grumble and calculate their reactions.  That can be fine, if you've completely given up on international affinities and alliances and simply see all as a zero sum game.  This blog by Andrew Erickson has an interesting analysis:



What would have happened if China reached out quietly to the U.S. and announced that this was their intention?  Perhaps they did, though I doubt it.  Perhaps they would have rightly assumed that the U.S. would not have treated the information carefully, would immediately leak it to Japan, etc.  One can understand that a rising power isn’t always graceful as it goes about upending the status quo.  But there is potential to do more than surprise with assertions that seem petulant with their abruptness.  China should risk an effort to try more confidence building with the information it has and how it is shared.  Right now the nation's remains bereft of real allies.  Otherwise no one will see the emerging giant as something to trust and the noise back from the world, will serve to make China that much more bristly and people will assume the worst of your rise, as if your intentions are really no better then the Dead Boys:

Things will be different then
The sun will rise from here
Then I'll be ten feet tall
And you'll be nothing at all. 

Meanwhile, if America wants creative, and risky olive branches from Beijing, it might consider how best to model such behavior first.  All the more so, for Japan. Simply insisting upon the status quo is not defensible for the medium term. 


 





[1] chéngrénbùbèi:  to take advantage of sb in an unguarded moment (idiom) / to take sb by surprise
                                                                                                                                                                                                       

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