Wednesday, January 8, 2014

'Great State Autism'




Cruising along the “Jing Cheng Gao Su”, the highway that connects the capital with the Emperor Kangxi’s (1654 – 1722) summer retreat up in Chengde.  That trip, not unlike Voltaire and Emilie’s ride I mentioned yesterday must have taken the entourage a few days to navigate when they moved court up to the north.  (I notice that Kangxi and Voltaire, (1694- 1778) shared 28 years on earth.)  On the Jing Cheng Expressway, one can get up to Chengde now in a few hours.  Heading the other way, into Beijing, I’m lucky this morning.  There’s no traffic. 



We visited Chengde once a few years back and there are some lovely extant palaces there.  Kangxi and his successors like Qianlong, whom I’ve brined-about before, would welcome the neighboring leaders from Tibet and Mongolia and other vassal states and host them in mock accommodations of their home palaces.  One vivid memory is of a rectangular pillar sat atop a turtle, which is a popular motif.  The pillar had a message carved in four languages, Tibetan, Mongolian, Manchu and Chinese. Part of the message was that the Chinese and its empire should serve the other three ethnicities. 

At first glance this remarkable sentiment isn’t something one would expect from imperial China.  But the Qing were a Manchu people.  Not ethnically Han.  And even though they strove to emulate Han Chinese sophistication, they retained their Manchu distinction.  Traveling out of dry, hot Beijing for something more like the grasslands of their ancestors was part of the purpose a place like Chengde.  Furthermore this notion of “serving” reinforces the unquestionable centrality, even if supplicant centrality, of Han China.

I’ve dug into a book long recommended by a friend on China Foreign Policy by Edward Luttwak, provocatively entitled: “The Rise of China vs. the Logic of Strategy.” http://www.amazon.com/The-Rise-China-Logic-Strategy/dp/0674066421  Last summer Luttwak had a nuanced editorial in the New York Times on Syria which suggests he’s a gent that gets around, geographically:) http://www.nytimes.com/2013/08/25/opinion/sunday/in-syria-america-loses-if-either-side-wins.html?_r=0

As the title of the China book suggests, China’s foreign policy often proceeds in opposition to what otherwise seems to be their strategic objectives.  For example in the period immediately after the U.S. financial crisis, a mixture of hubris and vindication pushed Chinese state actors to follow nationally unsound but personally or departmentally aggrandizing behavior patterns.  So that in the case of Vietnam and Philippines, China forcefully insisted on bilateral negotiations around the Spratly Islands, during a multilateral event.  This tin-ear approach squelched what should have been a great moment for China and set the other two nations straight to America’s arms.   

This phenomenon is something Luttwak defines early as “Great-State Autism,”  wherein the largest of states such as India, Russia, the United States and China don’t understand what impact their actions are having on the world around them nearly so well as smaller states who are necessarily more nimble at considering their neighborhood, as they don’t have such broad, populated territories to manage.   He raises a fascinating and for me, overlooked example of successful (bilateral) negotiations between China and its immediate physical neighbors.  In at least a half-a-dozen cases physical territory that China had claimed, (sacred soil!) was successfully swapped and differences settled with at least six different neighboring states.  That is remarkable. 

Think about it.  There are at least six different examples of contemporary China giving up territorial claims, in the interest of settling restive areas with ethnic minorities, creating order at the border, etc.   And the Chinese citizenry, who would presumably tear their shirts off in outrage, if a solitary inch of the Diaoyu/Senakaku guano pile were seceded, say nothing.

In a multi-party state opposition parties would make such information available and pummel a ruling party with it.  With a one party state, they CCP does not have to defend much against public opinion.  If they don’t want the public to know, it is merely downplayed.  If it is historical, it isn’t taught or mentioned.  Because it is not framed by the propaganda ministry as an outrage, it is not seen as an outrage. Diaoyu / Senaku could certainly be settled rationally, as China has done in the past.  It only needs to be seen as a 丧权辱国[1] if the CCP wants it seen that way.  The same of course, applies to Japan as it concerns this particular mid-ocean, bird waste repository. 

On the Diaoyu or the Spratly islands, where there are no boarder crossings, and minority people to subdue, it is rather, oil that is at stake.  The “injustice” of other countries’ claims and invaluable sovereign rights to the territory have already been promoted to the Chinese nation, so it is much more difficult to change course and reframe.  But the debate can certainly be had with educated Chinese people about just what supposedly “sacred” soil is and why it is OK to renounce claims to it in one instance, by the ruling Party, and not in another.

In other news, I seem to recall a time when the prevailing meme was that the rapscallion Chinese were the ones who were hacking the world’s computer systems and had military units and hacker hacks who were squirrelled away in this building or that, as shown on CNN, compromising the security of upstanding nation’s such as the U.S.  Have a look at this article.  http://www.spacewar.com/reports/France_UAE_satellite_deal_shaky_after_US_spy_tech_discovered_onboard_999.html

U.S. equipment, embedded in a French satellite sold to the UAE, is designed to surreptitiously intercept and capture data transmissions.  Tough time to be a spook at Langley I suppose.  It’s almost like people keep finding reasons not to trust you.
That simple story of ‘China = hacking’ really was forever compromised or shown for the one-sided jingoism it was, in the post Snowden world.  The Chinese were actually telling the truth, when they said “we are the greatest victims of hacking in the world.”



I heard Roy Ayres playing vibes with Fela at the gym this morning and it sounded lovely.  “Africa-Centre of the World.”  I dug around a bit looking into his work.  I have a copy of “Everybody Loves the Sunshine” somewhere, which is also up lifting.  But I was hoping, I suppose to find some earlier, straight-up jazz of his, but nearly everything is fusion or soul and often with a less than stirring vocal mix.  Now I know where “Diggable Planets “ got the “We Live In Brooklyn” bit from.  But it’s not what I’m in the mood for this morning.  I can’t write with someone yelling “Don’t Stop the Feeling” in one ear while a woman moans in the other.  I’m heading back a few decades for the groove I’m looking for. 





[1] sàngquánrǔguó:  to forfeit sovereignty and humiliate the country (idiom) / to surrender territory under humiliating terms 

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